4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,824 sqft ·
Built 2026
· Land
· Active
· 54 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,324/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,516
Tax + insurance
−$366
HOA
−$216
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$488
Net cashflow
$-262/mo
Annual
$-3,144/yr
Cap rate
5.21%
Cash-on-cash
-3.89%
DSCR
0.83
1% rule
0.80%
Cash to close
$80,933
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath land listed at $289k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-262 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $243k (16.0% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $232k (19.6% below list).
It's been on market 54 days — a 3% lower offer ($280k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $232k (19.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $31k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $29k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 59/100 on livability (#826 in FL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, employment D+, schools D-.
Lee (suburban): math 47% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #42 of 73 in FL (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: Rents falling (-4.7%/yr); 2460 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 15,411 units permitted in Lee County in 2024 (4,686 in 5+ unit buildings).
Lee County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
4 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$50k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($72k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 54 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 20% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
CashFlowRE · CFR-2GAZB0EDAQYE23
· Data 4 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29