3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,040 sqft ·
Built 1988
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 1 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,028/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$656
Tax + insurance
−$208
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$216
Net cashflow
$-52/mo
Annual
$-619/yr
Cap rate
5.80%
Cash-on-cash
-1.77%
DSCR
0.92
1% rule
0.82%
Cash to close
$35,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $125k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-52 ($-619/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $118k (6.0% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $103k (17.7% below list).
Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $103k (17.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $5k of equity ($864 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (3.2% local appreciation)).
Location reads 59/100 on livability (#226 in WV) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Wayne County Schools (rural): math 25% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #25 of 55 in WV (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Wayne Elementary School (math 25% / reading 25%, grade F, #286 of 377 statewide, top 76%, 467 students, 0% FRL); Wayne Middle School (math 15% / reading 34%, grade F, #84 of 109 statewide, top 81%, 371 students, 0% FRL); Wayne High School (math 12% / reading 47%, grade F, #69 of 110 statewide, top 71%, 611 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 46% district-wide (46 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Market conditions: 10 active listings in the ZIP; 67 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Wayne County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Current owner paid $89k; 40% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
At projected returns (3.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Minor: kitchen cabinets
— slight wear
Minor: bathroom cabinets
— slight wear
Moderate: roof
— visible wear
Moderate: exterior siding
— visible wear
Minor: landscaping
— bare yard
CashFlowRE · CFR-2GDNS5A1CXQWJF
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29