6 bd · 4.0 ba ·
2,737 sqft ·
Built 1920
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 70 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,872/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,154
Tax + insurance
−$308
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$603
Net cashflow
$808/mo
Annual
$9,692/yr
Cap rate
10.70%
Cash-on-cash
15.73%
DSCR
1.70
1% rule
1.31%
Cash to close
$61,600
Investor read
This is a 3 × 2-bed/?-bath units multifamily listed at $220k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $808 ($10k/yr) — positive. Per door: $269/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $220k).
It's been on market 70 days — a 6% lower offer ($207k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $207k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 81/100 on livability (#10 in KS, #1,501 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, commute F.
Hays (town): math 36% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #27 of 169 in KS (top 16%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 141 active listings in the ZIP; 34 units permitted in Ellis County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Ellis County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Current owner paid $57k; list at $220k implies a 286% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $62k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
At $2,872/mo this rent would consume 56% of the median local household income ($61k/yr) (locally 1019% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 70 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
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· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29