2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
520 sqft ·
Built 1961
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 272 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,062/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$519
Tax + insurance
−$72
HOA
−$55
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$223
Net cashflow
$193/mo
Annual
$2,315/yr
Cap rate
8.63%
Cash-on-cash
8.35%
DSCR
1.37
1% rule
1.07%
Cash to close
$27,720
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $99k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $193 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $99k).
It's been on market 272 days — a 12% lower offer ($87k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $87k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $684 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 64/100 on livability (#372 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing B+; Watch: employment D, crime F, amenities D-.
Swain County Schools (rural): math 43% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #91 of 178 in NC (top 51%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Swain County East Elementary (math 37% / reading 42%, grade F, #694 of 1,410 statewide, top 53%, 339 students, 70% FRL); Swain County High School (math 52% / reading 52%, grade D+, #292 of 535 statewide, top 56%, 560 students, 51% FRL).
Market conditions: 342 active listings in the ZIP; 77 units permitted in Swain County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Swain County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
6 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $16k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $77k; 29% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 8.6% vs local median 1.2% in Bryson City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 272 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1961 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-2GTC4YDN4JBWZS
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29