2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
838 sqft ·
Built 1915
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 27 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$850/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$246
Tax + insurance
−$60
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$178
Net cashflow
$365/mo
Annual
$4,383/yr
Cap rate
15.62%
Cash-on-cash
33.30%
DSCR
2.48
1% rule
1.81%
Cash to close
$13,160
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $47k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $365 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($850 rent vs $47k).
It's been on market 27 days — a 2% lower offer ($46k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $46k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $325 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 73/100 on livability (#140 in NE) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, schools D-, amenities F.
Bayard Public Schools (rural): math 35% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #231 of 245 in NE (top 94%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1915 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 101 active listings in the ZIP.
Morrill County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $6k; list at $47k implies a 670% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1915 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-2GWNK4AFXRAG43
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29