3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,081 sqft ·
Built 1950
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 45 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,146/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$629
Tax + insurance
−$200
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$241
Net cashflow
$76/mo
Annual
$916/yr
Cap rate
7.06%
Cash-on-cash
2.73%
DSCR
1.12
1% rule
0.96%
Cash to close
$33,572
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $120k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $76 ($916/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $115k (4.5% below list).
It's been on market 45 days — a 3% lower offer ($116k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $115k (4.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $829 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 59/100 on livability (#1,518 in PA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing B; Watch: crime C-, health & safety D, schools D-.
Mifflinburg Area SD (town): math 41% / reading 62% proficiency, ranked #163 of 539 in PA (top 30%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 31 active listings in the ZIP; 49 units permitted in Union County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Union County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
6 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $72k; list at $120k implies a 67% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 45 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 4% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.