6 bd · 4.0 ba ·
2,599 sqft ·
Built 1970
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 24 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,478/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$787
Tax + insurance
−$250
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$310
Net cashflow
$131/mo
Annual
$1,575/yr
Cap rate
7.34%
Cash-on-cash
3.75%
DSCR
1.17
1% rule
0.99%
Cash to close
$42,000
Investor read
This is a 6-bed/4.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $131 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $148k (1.4% below list).
It's been on market 24 days — a 2% lower offer ($148k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $148k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $5k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $4k appreciation (2.6% local appreciation)).
Location reads 57/100 on livability (#373 in AR) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: schools D+, crime F, amenities F.
Mineral Springs School District (rural): math 15% / reading 15% proficiency, ranked #222 of 238 in AR (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 78% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Market conditions: 26 active listings in the ZIP; 1 units permitted in Hempstead County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Hempstead County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (2.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-2HA36V2QPETK0M
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29