3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,152 sqft ·
Built 1989
· Manufactured
· Active
· 304 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,082/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$519
Tax + insurance
−$72
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$227
Net cashflow
$264/mo
Annual
$3,167/yr
Cap rate
9.49%
Cash-on-cash
11.42%
DSCR
1.51
1% rule
1.09%
Cash to close
$27,720
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $99k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $264 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $99k).
It's been on market 304 days — a 12% lower offer ($87k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $87k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $7k of equity ($684 loan paydown + $7k appreciation (6.7% local appreciation)).
Location reads 61/100 on livability (#771 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: crime D, health & safety D, amenities F.
Hamilton (rural): math 34% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #68 of 73 in FL (top 93%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Market conditions: 85 active listings in the ZIP; 26 units permitted in Hamilton County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Hamilton County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
4 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask is 43% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
At projected returns (6.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 9.5% vs local median 2.8% in Lee — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 304 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-2HTQME88VKB8W0
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29