4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,210 sqft ·
Built 1929
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 69 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,638/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$915
Tax + insurance
−$291
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$344
Net cashflow
$88/mo
Annual
$1,058/yr
Cap rate
6.90%
Cash-on-cash
2.17%
DSCR
1.10
1% rule
0.94%
Cash to close
$48,860
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $174k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $88 ($1k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $164k (6.1% below list).
It's been on market 69 days — a 6% lower offer ($164k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $164k (6.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $4k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $2k appreciation (1.3% local appreciation)).
Location reads 81/100 on livability (#55 in WI, #1,534 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D+, schools F, crime F.
Milwaukee School District (urban): math 10% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #337 of 342 in WI (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 77% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Watch-outs: built in 1929 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.0%/yr); 126 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,017 units permitted in Milwaukee County in 2024 (803 in 5+ unit buildings).
Milwaukee County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
3 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (1.3% appreciation + 7.0% rent growth), your $49k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 6.9% vs local median 5.1% in Milwaukee — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($47k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 69 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1929 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Minor: Kitchen cabinets
— Worn appearance
Minor: Bathroom fixtures
— Signs of wear
Minor: Flooring
— Worn appearance
CashFlowRE · CFR-2J2QVE05SBWC20
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29