3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,088 sqft ·
Built 1957
· Other
· Active
· 335 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,282/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$918
Tax + insurance
−$233
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$269
Net cashflow
$-137/mo
Annual
$-1,648/yr
Cap rate
5.35%
Cash-on-cash
-3.36%
DSCR
0.85
1% rule
0.73%
Cash to close
$49,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $175k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-137 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $151k (13.9% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $128k (26.7% below list).
It's been on market 335 days — a 12% lower offer ($154k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $128k (26.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $19k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $18k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 73/100 on livability (#254 in MN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, health & safety D+, amenities F.
Rtr Public Schools (rural): math 50% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #92 of 301 in MN (top 31%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Watch-outs: built in 1957 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 9 active listings in the ZIP; 13 units permitted in Lincoln County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Lincoln County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
5 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $120k; 46% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 335 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 27% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1957 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-2J3QFE0HHFHZ5D
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29