3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
2,224 sqft ·
Built 1887
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 171 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,291/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$781
Tax + insurance
−$257
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$271
Net cashflow
$-19/mo
Annual
$-227/yr
Cap rate
6.14%
Cash-on-cash
-0.54%
DSCR
0.98
1% rule
0.87%
Cash to close
$41,720
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $149k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-19 ($-227/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $146k (2.2% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $129k (13.4% below list).
It's been on market 171 days — a 12% lower offer ($131k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $129k (13.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 56/100 on livability (#631 in NC) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A, housing B+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
Roanoke Rapids City Schools (town): math 31% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #135 of 178 in NC (top 76%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Belmont Elementary School (math 22% / reading 26%, grade F, #1,153 of 1,410 statewide, top 82%, 595 students, 100% FRL); Chaloner Middle School (math 31% / reading 40%, grade F, #279 of 475 statewide, top 60%, 616 students, 100% FRL); Roanoke Rapids High School (math 52% / reading 37%, grade F, #352 of 535 statewide, top 68%, 783 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 53% district-wide (46 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: built in 1887 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 147 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 55 units permitted in Halifax County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Halifax County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 60% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 4.1% in Roanoke Rapids — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($50k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 171 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 13% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1887 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
CashFlowRE · CFR-2K4D030H2AVCX1
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29