1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
795 sqft ·
Built 1919
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 144 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$882/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$655
Tax + insurance
−$138
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$185
Net cashflow
$-96/mo
Annual
$-1,149/yr
Cap rate
5.37%
Cash-on-cash
-3.29%
DSCR
0.85
1% rule
0.71%
Cash to close
$34,972
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-96 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $108k (13.5% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $88k (29.4% below list).
It's been on market 144 days — a 12% lower offer ($110k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $88k (29.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $10k of equity ($864 loan paydown + $9k appreciation (7.3% local appreciation)).
Location reads 81/100 on livability (#4 in MT, #1,349 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D, commute F.
Baker K-12 Schools (rural): math 42% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #52 of 116 in MT (top 45%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 18% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Watch-outs: built in 1919 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 11 active listings in the ZIP.
Fallon County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 144 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 29% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1919 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-2K4RKACHKHJ43B
· Data 10 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29