5 bd · 3.0 ba ·
2,347 sqft ·
Built 1948
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 16 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,985/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,048
Tax + insurance
−$303
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$627
Net cashflow
$1,007/mo
Annual
$12,087/yr
Cap rate
12.34%
Cash-on-cash
21.59%
DSCR
1.96
1% rule
1.49%
Cash to close
$55,972
Investor read
This is a 2×2bd/1ba + 1×1bd/1ba units multifamily listed at $200k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($12k/yr) — positive. Per door: $336/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $200k).
It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($197k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $197k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $21k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $20k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 82/100 on livability (#70 in NY, #1,048 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment F.
Gloversville City School District (town): math 26% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #565 of 590 in NY (top 96%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Gloversville High School (math 82% / reading 77%, grade A-, #518 of 1,100 statewide, top 51%, 697 students, 71% FRL) — zoned schools average 71% FRL vs 54% district-wide (17 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 80% at this address vs 34% district-wide (+46 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Gloversville City School District average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
Watch-outs: built in 1948 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 165 active listings in the ZIP; 112 units permitted in Fulton County in 2024 (50 in 5+ unit buildings).
Fulton County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $56k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 12.3% vs local median 8.7% in Gloversville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1948 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
CashFlowRE · CFR-2KZPR667W9MC2E
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29