5 bd · 1.0 ba ·
900 sqft ·
Built 1963
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 36 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,074/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$472
Tax + insurance
−$148
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$226
Net cashflow
$229/mo
Annual
$2,744/yr
Cap rate
9.34%
Cash-on-cash
10.89%
DSCR
1.48
1% rule
1.19%
Cash to close
$25,199
Investor read
This is a 5-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $90k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $229 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).
It's been on market 36 days — a 3% lower offer ($87k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $87k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $3k of equity ($622 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 63/100 on livability (#861 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime B+, housing B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Roma ISD (rural): math 30% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #557 of 826 in TX (top 67%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Florence J Scott El (math 52% / reading 62%, grade C+, #505 of 4,322 statewide, top 13%, 479 students, 86% FRL); Roma Middle (math 17% / reading 22%, grade F, #1,445 of 1,662 statewide, top 88%, 779 students, 87% FRL); Roma H S (math 20% / reading 40%, grade F, #1,096 of 1,632 statewide, top 68%, 1,773 students, 80% FRL) — zoned schools average 84% FRL vs 46% district-wide (39 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: 78 active listings in the ZIP.
Starr County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 36 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1963 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-2M510F8P78C0DE
· Data 2 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29