2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
744 sqft ·
Built 1960
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 84 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$771/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$472
Tax + insurance
−$184
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$162
Net cashflow
$-47/mo
Annual
$-560/yr
Cap rate
5.67%
Cash-on-cash
-2.22%
DSCR
0.90
1% rule
0.86%
Cash to close
$25,200
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $90k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-47 ($-560/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $82k (9.2% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $77k (14.3% below list).
It's been on market 84 days — a 6% lower offer ($85k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $77k (14.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $5k of equity ($622 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (4.9% local appreciation)).
Location reads 73/100 on livability (#227 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, employment D+, amenities F.
Laredo ISD (urban): math 21% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #739 of 826 in TX (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Macdonell El (math 12% / reading 27%, grade F, #3,583 of 4,322 statewide, top 86%, 470 students, 98% FRL); Christen Middle (math 10% / reading 16%, grade F, #1,609 of 1,662 statewide, top 97%, 1,098 students, 100% FRL); Martin H S (math 32% / reading 25%, grade F, #1,157 of 1,632 statewide, top 72%, 1,914 students, 99% FRL) — zoned schools average 99% FRL vs 82% district-wide (16 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: 68 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,448 units permitted in Webb County in 2024 (245 in 5+ unit buildings).
Webb County population projected at +23% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
At projected returns (4.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.7% vs local median 4.1% in Laredo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 84 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 14% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-2MHCSR9T1M18DX
· Data 14 min agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29