15 bd · 9.0 ba ·
— sqft ·
Built —
· MultiFamily
· Under Contract
· 15 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$7,064/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$3,251
Tax + insurance
−$1,033
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,483
Net cashflow
$1,296/mo
Annual
$15,551/yr
Cap rate
8.80%
Cash-on-cash
8.96%
DSCR
1.40
1% rule
1.14%
Cash to close
$173,600
Investor read
This is a 2×2bd/1.0ba + 1×1bd/1.0ba units multifamily listed at $620k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($16k/yr) — positive. Per door: $432/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($7k rent vs $620k).
It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($611k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $611k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $19k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 77/100 on livability (#119 in NJ, #3,034 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: schools D+, cost of living F.
West New York Board Of Education (suburban): math 10% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #420 of 472 in NJ (top 89%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.7%/yr); 259 active listings in the ZIP; 5,310 units permitted in Hudson County in 2024 (4,154 in 5+ unit buildings).
Hudson County population projected at +29% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→14/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 8.8% vs local median 1.5% in West New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $7,064/mo this rent would consume 116% of the median local household income ($73k/yr) (locally 5546% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: kitchen cabinets
— The kitchen cabinets appear to be outdated and in need of replacement.
Major: bathroom fixtures
— The bathroom fixtures appear to be outdated and in need of replacement.
Major: flooring
— The carpeted flooring in the living areas appears to be in poor condition and in need of replacement.
CashFlowRE · CFR-2MM72E1VJBZR9C
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29