2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
759 sqft ·
Built 1989
· Condo
· Pending
· 62 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,130/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$467
Tax + insurance
−$167
HOA
−$793
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$447
Net cashflow
$256/mo
Annual
$3,069/yr
Cap rate
9.74%
Cash-on-cash
12.31%
DSCR
1.55
1% rule
2.39%
Cash to close
$24,920
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $89k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $256 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $89k).
It's been on market 62 days — a 6% lower offer ($84k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $84k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $879 of equity ($615 loan paydown + $264 appreciation (0.3% local appreciation)).
Location reads 85/100 on livability (#29 in FL, #608 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, crime A; Watch: amenities D.
Orange (suburban): math 46% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #43 of 73 in FL (top 59%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Sunshine Elementary (math 41% / reading 43%, grade F, #1,403 of 2,144 statewide, top 67%, 949 students, 41% FRL); Freedom Middle (math 43% / reading 43%, grade D-, #331 of 571 statewide, top 59%, 1,159 students, 44% FRL); Lake Buena Vista High School (1,714 students, 49% FRL).
Watch-outs: HOA is 37% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents falling (-3.2%/yr); 281 active listings in the ZIP; 33 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 5d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 8,053 units permitted in Orange County in 2024 (3,133 in 5+ unit buildings).
Orange County population projected at +52% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
At projected returns (0.3% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 9.7% vs local median 3.5% in Williamsburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($69k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 62 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-2MR39K3RNR7VKS
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29