4 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,360 sqft ·
Built 1875
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 12 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,620/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$734
Tax + insurance
−$265
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$340
Net cashflow
$281/mo
Annual
$3,367/yr
Cap rate
9.18%
Cash-on-cash
10.30%
DSCR
1.46
1% rule
1.16%
Cash to close
$39,172
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $140k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $281 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $140k).
Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $967 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 78/100 on livability (#101 in WI, #2,663 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D, commute F.
Janesville School District (urban): math 31% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #254 of 342 in WI (top 74%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Wilson Elementary (math 22% / reading 22%, grade F, #823 of 1,041 statewide, top 82%, 272 students, 96% FRL); Parker High (math 16% / reading 24%, grade F, #365 of 483 statewide, top 78%, 1,250 students, 51% FRL) — zoned schools average 74% FRL vs 46% district-wide (28 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 21% at this address vs 33% district-wide (-12 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Janesville School District average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1875 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 82 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 629 units permitted in Rock County in 2024 (263 in 5+ unit buildings).
Rock County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Current owner paid $100k; 40% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 9.2% vs local median 2.7% in Janesville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1875 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-2MT3M71AVAJYQ6
· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29