3 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,254 sqft ·
Built 1890
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 19 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,029/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,258
Tax + insurance
−$442
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$426
Net cashflow
$-97/mo
Annual
$-1,163/yr
Cap rate
5.81%
Cash-on-cash
-1.73%
DSCR
0.92
1% rule
0.85%
Cash to close
$67,172
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $240k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-97 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $223k (7.1% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $203k (15.4% below list).
It's been on market 19 days — a 2% lower offer ($236k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $203k (15.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 83/100 on livability (#44 in MI, #939 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F.
Grand Rapids Public Schools (urban): math 15% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #451 of 540 in MI (top 84%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Palmer School (math 5% / reading 15%, grade F, #1,230 of 1,397 statewide, top 91%, 178 students, 85% FRL); Riverside Middle School (math 8% / reading 17%, grade F, #466 of 493 statewide, top 95%, 248 students, 89% FRL); Union High School (math 2% / reading 12%, grade F, #699 of 713 statewide, top 99%, 922 students, 88% FRL).
Zoned-school proficiency averages 10% at this address vs 22% district-wide (-12 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Grand Rapids Public Schools average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Watch-outs: built in 1890 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.5%/yr); 149 active listings in the ZIP; 25 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 80% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,253 units permitted in Kent County in 2024 (969 in 5+ unit buildings).
Kent County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
5 sale attempts since 37y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $112k; list at $240k implies a 113% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Cap rate 5.8% vs local median 4.5% in Grand Rapids — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($75k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1890 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
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· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29