3 bd · 4.0 ba ·
2,636 sqft ·
Built 2010
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 56 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,395/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,862
Tax + insurance
−$489
HOA
−$12
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$503
Net cashflow
$-470/mo
Annual
$-5,642/yr
Cap rate
4.70%
Cash-on-cash
-5.68%
DSCR
0.75
1% rule
0.67%
Cash to close
$99,400
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/4.0-bath single-family listed at $355k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-470 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $272k (23.4% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $240k (32.5% below list).
It's been on market 56 days — a 3% lower offer ($344k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $240k (32.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $38k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $36k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 67/100 on livability (#234 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety B+; Watch: crime D-, amenities F, commute F.
Cumberland County Schools (urban): math 32% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #126 of 178 in NC (top 71%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Rockfish Elementary (math 32% / reading 45%, grade F, #750 of 1,410 statewide, top 54%, 696 students, 98% FRL); Hope Mills Middle (math 27% / reading 34%, grade F, #331 of 475 statewide, top 70%, 514 students, 99% FRL); South View High (math 60% / reading 43%, grade D+, #299 of 535 statewide, top 56%, 1,502 students, 66% FRL) — zoned schools average 88% FRL vs 55% district-wide (33 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: 44 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,125 units permitted in Cumberland County in 2024 (104 in 5+ unit buildings).
7 sale attempts since 16y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$61k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 74% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 56 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 33% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-2NW2SYBWX0EMFX
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29