3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,275 sqft ·
Built 1980
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 104 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,989/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$681
Tax + insurance
−$160
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$418
Net cashflow
$730/mo
Annual
$8,755/yr
Cap rate
13.03%
Cash-on-cash
24.07%
DSCR
2.07
1% rule
1.53%
Cash to close
$36,372
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $130k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $730 ($9k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $130k).
It's been on market 104 days — a 9% lower offer ($118k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $118k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $898 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 70/100 on livability (#57 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
St. Tammany Parish (suburban): math 43% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #11 of 98 in LA (top 11%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Cypress Cove Elementary School (657 students, 53% FRL); Little Oak Middle School (math 50% / reading 58%, grade B-, #19 of 218 statewide, top 9%, 929 students, 41% FRL); Northshore High School (math 53% / reading 61%, grade C, #25 of 265 statewide, top 9%, 1,681 students, 32% FRL) — zoned schools at 42% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.7%/yr); 690 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 73d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 85% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,064 units permitted in St. Tammany Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
St. Tammany County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
7 sale attempts since 25y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $81k; list at $130k implies a 60% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.7% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 13.0% vs local median 6.0% in Slidell — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 104 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: roof
— The roof appears to be in poor condition, with visible damage and potential leaks.
Major: exterior siding
— The exterior siding shows signs of wear and tear, with peeling paint and possible rot.
Major: landscaping
— The landscaping is overgrown and in need of trimming and maintenance.
Major: fencing
— The fencing around the property is in poor condition and may need repair or replacement.
Minor: windows
— The windows appear to be in average condition, but may need cleaning or replacement.
Minor: HVAC system
— The HVAC system appears to be in average condition, but may need cleaning or repair.
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· Data 13 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29