4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,691 sqft ·
Built 1974
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 46 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,311/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,048
Tax + insurance
−$143
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$275
Net cashflow
$-156/mo
Annual
$-1,868/yr
Cap rate
5.36%
Cash-on-cash
-3.34%
DSCR
0.85
1% rule
0.66%
Cash to close
$55,972
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $200k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-156 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $172k (13.8% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $131k (34.4% below list).
It's been on market 46 days — a 3% lower offer ($194k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $131k (34.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $13k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $12k appreciation (6.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 60/100 on livability (#230 in SC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime F, amenities F.
Market conditions: 15 active listings in the ZIP; 87 units permitted in Orangeburg County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Orangeburg County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 46 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 34% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-2Q6R48EGKD8YQT
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29