3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,457 sqft ·
Built 1939
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 89 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,168/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$708
Tax + insurance
−$111
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$245
Net cashflow
$104/mo
Annual
$1,253/yr
Cap rate
7.22%
Cash-on-cash
3.31%
DSCR
1.15
1% rule
0.87%
Cash to close
$37,800
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $135k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $104 ($1k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $117k (13.4% below list).
It's been on market 89 days — a 6% lower offer ($127k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $117k (13.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 51/100 on livability (#408 in TN) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: health & safety C-, crime D-, amenities F.
Trenton (town): math 24% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #99 of 139 in TN (top 71%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Trenton Elementary (math 32% / reading 22%, grade F, #496 of 952 statewide, top 55%, 541 students, 0% FRL); Trenton Middle School (math 24% / reading 21%, grade F, #172 of 333 statewide, top 52%, 399 students, 0% FRL); Peabody High School (math 8% / reading 32%, grade F, #183 of 332 statewide, top 59%, 414 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 55% district-wide (55 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Watch-outs: built in 1939 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 83 active listings in the ZIP; 155 units permitted in Gibson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Gibson County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 89 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 13% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1939 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-2QKE5K1JCY7QWY
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29