1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
850 sqft ·
Built 1983
· Condo
· Active
· 144 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,530/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$624
Tax + insurance
−$265
HOA
−$468
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$321
Net cashflow
$-149/mo
Annual
$-1,782/yr
Cap rate
5.47%
Cash-on-cash
-2.96%
DSCR
0.87
1% rule
1.29%
Cash to close
$33,320
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $119k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-149 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $98k (18.1% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $119k).
It's been on market 144 days — a 12% lower offer ($105k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $98k (18.1% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $823 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 78/100 on livability (#6 in LA, #2,414 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, employment C-, crime D.
Jefferson Parish (suburban): math 24% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #44 of 98 in LA (top 45%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: A.C. Alexander School (math 26% / reading 39%, grade F, #300 of 646 statewide, top 47%, 680 students, 59% FRL); John Q. Adams Middle School (math 22% / reading 36%, grade F, #117 of 218 statewide, top 54%, 900 students, 55% FRL); Bonnabel Magnet Academy High School (math 12% / reading 21%, grade F, #214 of 265 statewide, top 81%, 1,478 students, 52% FRL).
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; HOA is 31% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents falling (-4.2%/yr); 294 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 42% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 518 units permitted in Jefferson Parish in 2024 (43 in 5+ unit buildings).
12 sale attempts since 28y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $86k; 39% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 144 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 18% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
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