3 bd · 2.5 ba ·
1,508 sqft ·
Built 2026
· Townhouse
· Active
· 134 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,457/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,510
Tax + insurance
−$480
HOA
−$115
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$516
Net cashflow
$-164/mo
Annual
$-1,970/yr
Cap rate
5.61%
Cash-on-cash
-2.44%
DSCR
0.89
1% rule
0.85%
Cash to close
$80,637
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $288k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-164 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $264k (8.2% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $246k (14.7% below list).
It's been on market 134 days — a 12% lower offer ($253k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $246k (14.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $6k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $4k appreciation (1.4% local appreciation)).
Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Fulton County (suburban): math 49% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #12 of 174 in GA (top 7%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Market conditions: 13 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 5d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 11,565 units permitted in Fulton County in 2024 (8,159 in 5+ unit buildings).
Fulton County population projected at +38% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 25% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 6→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.6% vs local median 4.6% in South Fulton — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 134 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 15% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-2R9APYD8CQAYB2
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29