1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
960 sqft ·
Built 1986
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 22 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,609/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$978
Tax + insurance
−$137
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$338
Net cashflow
$157/mo
Annual
$1,881/yr
Cap rate
7.30%
Cash-on-cash
3.60%
DSCR
1.16
1% rule
0.86%
Cash to close
$52,192
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $186k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $157 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $161k (13.7% below list).
It's been on market 22 days — a 2% lower offer ($184k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $161k (13.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 63/100 on livability (#416 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, commute F, employment D-.
Evansville Vanderburgh School Corporation (urban): math 36% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #153 of 301 in IN (top 51%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Scott Elementary School (math 70% / reading 62%, grade B+, #71 of 994 statewide, top 7%, 528 students, 18% FRL); North Junior High School (math 44% / reading 57%, grade C, #43 of 330 statewide, top 14%, 929 students, 42% FRL); North High School (math 57% / reading 74%, grade B, #29 of 369 statewide, top 8%, 1,674 students, 35% FRL) — zoned schools average 32% FRL vs 50% district-wide (18 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 61% at this address vs 40% district-wide (+21 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Evansville Vanderburgh School Corporation average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
Market conditions: 422 active listings in the ZIP; 508 units permitted in Vanderburgh County in 2024 (32 in 5+ unit buildings).
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 7.3% vs local median 4.6% in Evansville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-2SECAS9Y3WP2VE
· Data 6 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29