3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,915 sqft ·
Built —
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 108 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,353/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$705
Tax + insurance
−$224
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$284
Net cashflow
$139/mo
Annual
$1,672/yr
Cap rate
7.54%
Cash-on-cash
4.44%
DSCR
1.20
1% rule
1.01%
Cash to close
$37,660
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $134k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $139 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $134k).
It's been on market 108 days — a 9% lower offer ($122k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $122k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $930 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 69/100 on livability (#46 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
Walthall County School District (rural): math 22% / reading 23% proficiency, ranked #86 of 130 in MS (top 66%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 76% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Market conditions: 90 active listings in the ZIP.
Walthall County population projected at -30% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 7.5% vs local median 4.1% in Tylertown — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 108 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: roof
— The roof appears to be in poor condition, with visible wear and tear.
Minor: exterior siding
— The exterior siding is in fair condition, with some discoloration and wear.
Major: flooring
— The flooring in the living room and kitchen appears to be in poor condition, with visible wear and tear.
Minor: interior walls/paint
— The interior walls and paint appear to be in fair condition, with some discoloration and wear.
Major: landscaping
— The landscaping and curb appeal are poor, with overgrown grass and a lack of maintenance.
CashFlowRE · CFR-2SH2180C9DCP3F
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29