4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,599 sqft ·
Built 1996
· SingleFamily
· Under Contract
· 33 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,300/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,254
Tax + insurance
−$352
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$693
Net cashflow
$1/mo
Annual
$7/yr
Cap rate
6.29%
Cash-on-cash
0.01%
DSCR
1.00
1% rule
0.77%
Cash to close
$120,372
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $430k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1 ($7/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $330k (23.2% below list).
It's been on market 33 days — a 3% lower offer ($417k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $330k (23.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $46k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $43k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 67/100 on livability (#131 in UT) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, employment A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
Washington District (urban): math 42% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #37 of 80 in UT (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Laverkin School (math 37% / reading 47%, grade F, #287 of 585 statewide, top 52%, 411 students, 54% FRL); Tonaquint Intermediate (math 31% / reading 38%, grade F, #96 of 138 statewide, top 69%, 735 students, 42% FRL).
Market conditions: 49 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 3,140 units permitted in Washington County in 2024 (650 in 5+ unit buildings).
Washington County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
4 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $120k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$74k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 33 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 23% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-2SSKYF7SVGXKSH
· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29