3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,180 sqft ·
Built 1961
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 18 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,069/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$760
Tax + insurance
−$220
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$225
Net cashflow
$-135/mo
Annual
$-1,619/yr
Cap rate
5.18%
Cash-on-cash
-3.99%
DSCR
0.82
1% rule
0.74%
Cash to close
$40,572
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $145k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-135 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $121k (16.5% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $107k (26.2% below list).
It's been on market 18 days — a 2% lower offer ($143k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $107k (26.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $15k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $14k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#73 in KS, #4,191 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
Kingman-Norwich (town): math 22% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #129 of 169 in KS (top 76%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Kingman Elementary School (math 22% / reading 27%, grade F, #540 of 684 statewide, top 82%, 349 students, 59% FRL); Kingman Middle School (math 8% / reading 17%, grade F, #192 of 219 statewide, top 88%, 94 students, 54% FRL); Kingman High (math 15% / reading 24%, grade F, #198 of 327 statewide, top 66%, 203 students, 44% FRL) — zoned schools average 53% FRL vs 37% district-wide (15 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: 7 active listings in the ZIP; 52 units permitted in Kingman County in 2024 (30 in 5+ unit buildings).
Kingman County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
3 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$39k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1961 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-2TMGTXE6A81PEK
· Data 2 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29