2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
782 sqft ·
Built 1963
· Condo
· Active
· 33 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,028/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$629
Tax + insurance
−$164
HOA
−$473
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$426
Net cashflow
$336/mo
Annual
$4,028/yr
Cap rate
9.65%
Cash-on-cash
11.99%
DSCR
1.53
1% rule
1.69%
Cash to close
$33,600
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $120k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $336 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $120k).
It's been on market 33 days — a 3% lower offer ($116k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $116k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $830 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 82/100 on livability (#40 in MN, #1,110 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: amenities F, cost of living D-.
Hopkins Public School District (suburban): math 48% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #75 of 301 in MN (top 25%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Watch-outs: HOA is 23% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.4%/yr); 125 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 1d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 4,651 units permitted in Hennepin County in 2024 (2,443 in 5+ unit buildings).
Hennepin County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
5 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.4% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 9.6% vs local median 2.9% in Golden Valley — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 33 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1963 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-2V48QA11BR1AS7
· Data 11 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29