2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,037 sqft ·
Built 1985
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 253 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,333/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$656
Tax + insurance
−$119
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$280
Net cashflow
$278/mo
Annual
$3,338/yr
Cap rate
8.96%
Cash-on-cash
9.54%
DSCR
1.42
1% rule
1.07%
Cash to close
$35,000
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $278 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $125k).
It's been on market 253 days — a 12% lower offer ($110k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $110k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $947 of equity ($864 loan paydown + $83 appreciation (0.1% local appreciation)).
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#134 in VA, #4,304 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
Wythe County Public School District (rural): math 67% / reading 77% proficiency, ranked #20 of 131 in VA (top 15%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
Zoned schools: Rural Retreat Elementary (math 72% / reading 82%, grade A, #171 of 1,108 statewide, top 17%, 362 students, 75% FRL); Rural Retreat Middle (math 73% / reading 80%, grade A, #40 of 342 statewide, top 12%, 231 students, 75% FRL); Rural Retreat High (math 67% / reading 87%, grade A-, #90 of 319 statewide, top 30%, 312 students, 74% FRL) — zoned schools average 75% FRL vs 41% district-wide (34 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: 43 active listings in the ZIP; 63 units permitted in Wythe County in 2024 (12 in 5+ unit buildings).
Wythe County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (0.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 9.0% vs local median 4.3% in Rural Retreat — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 253 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-2VAK944GQZ7KQR
· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29