1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
800 sqft ·
Built 1965
· Condo
· Pending
· 49 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,889/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,358
Tax + insurance
−$432
HOA
−$949
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$607
Net cashflow
$-457/mo
Annual
$-5,481/yr
Cap rate
4.18%
Cash-on-cash
-7.56%
DSCR
0.66
1% rule
1.12%
Cash to close
$72,520
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $259k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-457 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $259k).
It's been on market 49 days — a 3% lower offer ($251k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $251k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 79/100 on livability (#125 in NY, #2,013 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: schools A+, crime A+, commute A+; Watch: amenities C-, cost of living F.
Tuckahoe Union Free School District (suburban): math 71% / reading 69% proficiency, ranked #133 of 755 in NY (top 18%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 12% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Watch-outs: HOA is 33% of rent.
Market conditions: 44 active listings in the ZIP; 26 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 954 units permitted in Westchester County in 2024 (649 in 5+ unit buildings).
Westchester County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
6 sale attempts since 26y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $220k; 18% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Cap rate 4.2% vs local median 2.9% in Tuckahoe — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 49 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
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