3 bd · 4.5 ba ·
5,491 sqft ·
Built 2004
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 4 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,880/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$3,986
Tax + insurance
−$945
HOA
−$48
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$395
Net cashflow
$-3,494/mo
Annual
$-41,922/yr
Cap rate
0.78%
Cash-on-cash
-19.70%
DSCR
0.12
1% rule
0.25%
Cash to close
$212,800
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/4.5-bath single-family listed at $760k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-3k ($-42k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $151k (80.2% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $188k (75.3% below list).
Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $151k (80.2% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $5k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $23k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 83/100 on livability (#11 in IN, #898 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, amenities A+, employment A+; Watch: commute F.
Hamilton Southeastern Schools (suburban): math 57% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #14 of 301 in IN (top 5%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 10% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Geist Elementary School (math 78% / reading 69%, grade A, #23 of 994 statewide, top 3%, 707 students, 13% FRL); Hamilton Southeastern Hs (math 66% / reading 85%, grade A-, #7 of 369 statewide, top 2%, 3,450 students, 15% FRL) — zoned schools at 14% FRL track the district average.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 74% at this address vs 58% district-wide (+16 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Hamilton Southeastern Schools average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
Market conditions: 303 active listings in the ZIP; 4,661 units permitted in Hamilton County in 2024 (1,528 in 5+ unit buildings).
Hamilton County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
7 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Cap rate 0.8% vs local median 3.6% in Fishers — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-2VYC66C7S0KT1Y
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29