2 bd · 2.5 ba ·
2,700 sqft ·
Built 1928
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 98 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$14,616/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$5,763
Tax + insurance
−$1,832
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$3,069
Net cashflow
$3,952/mo
Annual
$47,420/yr
Cap rate
10.61%
Cash-on-cash
15.41%
DSCR
1.69
1% rule
1.33%
Cash to close
$307,720
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.5-bath multifamily listed at $1.10M.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $4k ($47k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($15k rent vs $1.10M).
It's been on market 98 days — a 9% lower offer ($1.00M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $1.00M (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $117k of equity ($8k loan paydown + $110k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 72/100 on livability (#376 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: amenities F, cost of living F.
Lawrence Union Free School District (suburban): math 43% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #399 of 590 in NY (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1928 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 31 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 824 units permitted in Nassau County in 2024 (153 in 5+ unit buildings).
Nassau County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
3 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $151k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $308k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$189k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 98 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1928 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
CashFlowRE · CFR-2W3B02DRZD22JC
· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29