6 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,620 sqft ·
Built 1970
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 208 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$6,825/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$3,146
Tax + insurance
−$834
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,433
Net cashflow
$1,412/mo
Annual
$16,940/yr
Cap rate
9.12%
Cash-on-cash
10.08%
DSCR
1.45
1% rule
1.14%
Cash to close
$168,000
Investor read
This is a 2 × 3-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $600k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($17k/yr) — positive. Per door: $706/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($7k rent vs $600k).
It's been on market 208 days — a 12% lower offer ($528k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $528k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $18k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.3%/yr); 200 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 6,929 units permitted in Bronx County in 2024 (6,829 in 5+ unit buildings).
Bronx County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
5 sale attempts since 18y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $475k; 26% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.3% rent growth), your $168k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 9.1% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $6,825/mo this rent would consume 108% of the median local household income ($76k/yr) (locally 3706% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 208 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
CashFlowRE · CFR-2W6R8D41HCMPE1
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29