3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
744 sqft ·
Built 1969
· Manufactured
· Active
· 103 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,221/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$446
Tax + insurance
−$94
HOA
−$43
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$256
Net cashflow
$382/mo
Annual
$4,586/yr
Cap rate
11.69%
Cash-on-cash
19.27%
DSCR
1.86
1% rule
1.44%
Cash to close
$23,800
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $85k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $382 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $85k).
It's been on market 103 days — a 9% lower offer ($77k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $77k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $588 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 61/100 on livability (#312 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Grove (town): math 26% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #77 of 270 in OK (top 28%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Grove Lower Es (math 37% / reading 37%, grade F, #132 of 845 statewide, top 19%, 848 students, 0% FRL); Grove Upper Es (math 23% / reading 33%, grade F, #64 of 345 statewide, top 19%, 507 students, 0% FRL); Grove Hs (math 17% / reading 27%, grade F, #222 of 447 statewide, top 52%, 782 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 51% district-wide (51 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Market conditions: 118 active listings in the ZIP; 51 units permitted in Delaware County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Delaware County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 103 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1969 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-2X6KE52QS5Z88Q
· Data 12 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29