5 bd · 3.0 ba ·
632 sqft ·
Built —
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 44 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,443/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$787
Tax + insurance
−$255
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$303
Net cashflow
$99/mo
Annual
$1,184/yr
Cap rate
7.08%
Cash-on-cash
2.82%
DSCR
1.13
1% rule
0.96%
Cash to close
$42,000
Investor read
This is a 5-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $99 ($1k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $144k (3.8% below list).
It's been on market 44 days — a 3% lower offer ($146k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $144k (3.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 72/100 on livability (#252 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A-; Watch: amenities C-, commute F, employment F.
Nacogdoches ISD (town): math 26% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #688 of 826 in TX (top 83%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Brooks-Quinn-Jones El (math 13% / reading 19%, grade F, #3,974 of 4,322 statewide, top 92%, 611 students, 94% FRL); Mcmichael Middle (math 24% / reading 27%, grade F, #1,236 of 1,662 statewide, top 76%, 1,390 students, 82% FRL); Nacogdoches H S (math 21% / reading 34%, grade F, #1,183 of 1,632 statewide, top 73%, 1,772 students, 77% FRL).
Market conditions: 121 active listings in the ZIP; 35 units permitted in Nacogdoches County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 7.1% vs local median 2.3% in Nacogdoches — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($57k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 44 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 4% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-2XBBSK5WTB7NDZ
· Data 2 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29