2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
980 sqft ·
Built 1991
· Manufactured
· Pending
· 15 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,944/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$429
Tax + insurance
−$136
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$408
Net cashflow
$969/mo
Annual
$11,632/yr
Cap rate
20.50%
Cash-on-cash
50.73%
DSCR
3.26
1% rule
2.37%
Cash to close
$22,932
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $82k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $969 ($12k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $82k).
It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($81k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $81k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $566 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Boise Independent District (urban): math 42% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #36 of 92 in ID (top 39%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Garfield Elementary School (math 17% / reading 37%, grade F, #318 of 357 statewide, top 92%, 256 students, 77% FRL); Timberline High School (math 53% / reading 74%, grade B-, #14 of 169 statewide, top 8%, 1,398 students, 10% FRL).
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.5%/yr); 147 active listings in the ZIP; 27 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 5,129 units permitted in Ada County in 2024 (414 in 5+ unit buildings).
Ada County population projected at +45% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
5 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.5% rent growth), your $23k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 20.5% vs local median 2.6% in Boise City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-2XZQQ8E9C2P2Y9
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29