3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,872 sqft ·
Built 1999
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 22 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,564/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$3,540
Tax + insurance
−$697
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$538
Net cashflow
$-2,211/mo
Annual
$-26,532/yr
Cap rate
2.36%
Cash-on-cash
-14.04%
DSCR
0.38
1% rule
0.38%
Cash to close
$189,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $675k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-2k ($-27k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $284k (57.9% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $256k (62.0% below list).
It's been on market 22 days — a 2% lower offer ($665k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $256k (62.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $72k of equity ($5k loan paydown + $68k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 68/100 on livability (#285 in WA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D, amenities F, cost of living F.
Mount Baker School District (rural): math 40% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #165 of 291 in WA (top 57%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Acme Elementary (203 students, 49% FRL); Mount Baker Junior High (278 students, 58% FRL); Mount Baker Senior High (517 students, 47% FRL) — zoned schools at 52% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: 232 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 1,190 units permitted in Whatcom County in 2024 (327 in 5+ unit buildings).
Whatcom County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
4 sale attempts since 24y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $295k; list at $675k implies a 129% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$116k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($93k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-2Y5YGDF0X760CA
· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29