1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
900 sqft ·
Built —
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 2 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,186/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$781
Tax + insurance
−$248
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$249
Net cashflow
$-92/mo
Annual
$-1,110/yr
Cap rate
5.55%
Cash-on-cash
-2.66%
DSCR
0.88
1% rule
0.80%
Cash to close
$41,720
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $149k. Condition is rated poor.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-92 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $136k (9.0% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $119k (20.4% below list).
Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $119k (20.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $14k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $13k appreciation (8.7% local appreciation)).
Location reads 46/100 on livability (#549 in AL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+; Watch: housing C-, crime F, amenities F.
Walker County (rural): math 13% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #89 of 129 in AL (top 69%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Parrish Elementarymiddle School (math 17% / reading 57%, grade F, #267 of 627 statewide, top 45%, 324 students, 76% FRL) — zoned schools average 76% FRL vs 53% district-wide (23 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: 18 active listings in the ZIP; 36 units permitted in Walker County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Walker County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: roof
— The satellite image shows wet areas beneath the structure, indicating potential roof damage.
Major: exterior siding
— The exterior siding is dark and weathered, requiring replacement or repainting.
Major: HVAC/mechanicals
— No HVAC or mechanical systems are visible, indicating a need for installation or repair.
Major: landscaping
— The landscaping is minimal, with a dirt or gravel surface, requiring significant improvement.
Major: foundation/structure
— The foundation and structure appear to be in poor condition, requiring structural repairs or replacement.
Major: windows
— No windows are visible, which is typical for barndominiums and should be installed for better natural light and curb appeal.
CashFlowRE · CFR-2YB4FH3K2QDNQG
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29