86 Lake Trl

Pawleys Island, SC 29585

$950,000D+

3 bd · 4.0 ba · 3,630 sqft · Built 2016 · SingleFamily · Active · 79 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $7,999/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$4,982
• Tax + insurance: −$1,284
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$1,680
• Net cashflow: $53/mo
• Annual: $641/yr
• Cap rate: 6.36%
• Cash-on-cash: 0.24%
• DSCR: 1.01
• 1% rule: 0.84%
• Cash to close: $266,000

Investor read

• This is a 3-bed/4.0-bath single-family listed at $950k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $53 ($641/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $800k (15.8% below list).
• It's been on market 79 days — a 6% lower offer ($893k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $800k (15.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $7k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $28k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Location reads 70/100 on livability (#60 in SC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, health & safety A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
• Georgetown 01 (town): math 26% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #51 of 80 in SC (top 64%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: Waccamaw Elementary (math 67% / reading 62%, grade B, #56 of 597 statewide, top 10%, 519 students, 100% FRL); Waccamaw Intermediate (math 53% / reading 56%, grade B-, #24 of 229 statewide, top 11%, 420 students, 43% FRL); Waccamaw High (math 42% / reading 93%, grade B, #72 of 196 statewide, top 36%, 858 students, 35% FRL) — zoned schools at 59% FRL track the district average.
• Zoned-school proficiency averages 62% at this address vs 32% district-wide (+30 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Georgetown 01 average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
• Market conditions: 398 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 323 units permitted in Georgetown County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
• 3 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• Current owner paid $730k; 30% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
• Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 2.2% in Pawleys Island — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Questions for listing agent

• It's been on market 79 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 16% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
• The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
• How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.