3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,128 sqft ·
Built 1979
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 58 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,288/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$943
Tax + insurance
−$140
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$270
Net cashflow
$-66/mo
Annual
$-789/yr
Cap rate
5.85%
Cash-on-cash
-1.57%
DSCR
0.93
1% rule
0.72%
Cash to close
$50,372
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $180k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-66 ($-789/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $168k (6.5% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $129k (28.4% below list).
It's been on market 58 days — a 3% lower offer ($175k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $129k (28.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 73/100 on livability (#76 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A-; Watch: crime D, commute F, employment D-.
Rolla 31 (town): math 38% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #118 of 324 in MO (top 36%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Harry S. Truman Elem. (math 42% / reading 47%, grade F, #413 of 1,115 statewide, top 42%, 431 students, 51% FRL); Rolla Middle (math 37% / reading 46%, grade F, #163 of 391 statewide, top 44%, 837 students, 40% FRL); Rolla Sr. High (math 25% / reading 61%, grade F, #211 of 521 statewide, top 41%, 1,323 students, 34% FRL) — zoned schools at 42% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+10.2%/yr); 271 active listings in the ZIP; 162 units permitted in Phelps County in 2024 (83 in 5+ unit buildings).
Phelps County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Cap rate 5.9% vs local median 3.5% in Rolla — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 58 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 28% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-2Z7RB7EB2AAS5T
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29