1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
663 sqft ·
Built 1960
· Townhouse
· Active
· 188 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,963/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,044
Tax + insurance
−$402
HOA
−$450
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$412
Net cashflow
$-345/mo
Annual
$-4,144/yr
Cap rate
4.21%
Cash-on-cash
-7.44%
DSCR
0.67
1% rule
0.99%
Cash to close
$55,720
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $199k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-345 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $138k (30.7% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $196k (1.4% below list).
It's been on market 188 days — a 12% lower offer ($175k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $138k (30.7% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 67/100 on livability (#525 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, employment A, schools A-; Watch: commute C-, crime F, amenities F.
Port Aransas ISD (rural): math 57% / reading 63% proficiency, ranked #68 of 826 in TX (top 8%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Watch-outs: HOA is 23% of rent.
Market conditions: 1012 active listings in the ZIP; 1,397 units permitted in Nueces County in 2024 (47 in 5+ unit buildings).
Nueces County population projected at +36% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts since 16y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $11k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $36k; list at $199k implies a 453% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Cap rate 4.2% vs local median 1.1% in Port Aransas — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 188 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 31% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
CashFlowRE · CFR-2ZAXC85R98DWT7
· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29