3 bd · 3.0 ba ·
1,768 sqft ·
Built 1899
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 111 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,931/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,101
Tax + insurance
−$371
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$405
Net cashflow
$53/mo
Annual
$630/yr
Cap rate
6.97%
Cash-on-cash
2.43%
DSCR
1.11
1% rule
0.92%
Cash to close
$58,800
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $210k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $53 ($630/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $193k (8.1% below list).
It's been on market 111 days — a 9% lower offer ($191k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $191k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 71/100 on livability (#82 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety B; Watch: crime F, amenities F.
Douglas County (suburban): math 23% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #92 of 174 in GA (top 53%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: North Douglas Elementary School (math 17% / reading 27%, grade F, #810 of 1,228 statewide, top 69%, 506 students, 86% FRL); Stewart Middle School (math 11% / reading 27%, grade F, #368 of 470 statewide, top 79%, 554 students, 82% FRL); Douglas County High School (math 28% / reading 37%, grade F, #104 of 424 statewide, top 25%, 1,969 students, 63% FRL) — zoned schools average 77% FRL vs 53% district-wide (23 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1899 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents flat; 300 active listings in the ZIP; 30 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 595 units permitted in Douglas County in 2024 (72 in 5+ unit buildings).
Douglas County population projected at +35% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
16 sale attempts since 15y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $105k; list at $210k implies a 100% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; moderate wind risk, 25% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 7.0% vs local median 4.5% in Douglasville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($77k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 111 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1899 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-2ZPKTM82MEPV1B
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29