925 Poplas St

Bogalusa, LA 70427

$131,000C+

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,104 sqft · Built 2023 · SingleFamily · Active · 696 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $1,603/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$687
• Tax + insurance: −$592
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$337
• Net cashflow: $-12/mo
• Annual: $-147/yr
• Cap rate: 10.09%
• Cash-on-cash: 13.56%
• DSCR: 1.60
• 1% rule: 1.22%
• Cash to close: $36,680

Investor read

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $131k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-12 ($-147/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $129k (1.6% below list).
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $131k).
• It's been on market 696 days — a 12% lower offer ($115k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $115k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $906 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Location reads 59/100 on livability (#273 in LA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
• City Of Bogalusa School District (town): math 4% / reading 14% proficiency, ranked #96 of 98 in LA (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 87% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Zoned schools: Byrd Avenue Primary School (363 students, 74% FRL); Bogalusa High School (math 3% / reading 17%, grade F, #239 of 265 statewide, top 91%, 705 students, 74% FRL).
• Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
• Market conditions: 88 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 10 units permitted in Washington Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Washington County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• 12 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
• Cap rate 10.1% vs local median 6.0% in Bogalusa — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Questions for listing agent

• What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
• It's been on market 696 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
• Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
• Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.