55470 E 27th Pl

Strasburg, CO 80136

$380,000D

4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,521 sqft · Built 2004 · SingleFamily · Active · 24 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $3,214/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,993
• Tax + insurance: −$346
• HOA: −$155
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$675
• Net cashflow: $45/mo
• Annual: $542/yr
• Cap rate: 6.44%
• Cash-on-cash: 0.51%
• DSCR: 1.02
• 1% rule: 0.85%
• Cash to close: $106,400

Investor read

• This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $380k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $45 ($542/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $321k (15.4% below list).
• It's been on market 24 days — a 2% lower offer ($374k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $321k (15.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Location reads 60/100 on livability (#238 in CO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, crime A, employment A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
• Strasburg School District 31J (rural): math 36% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #32 of 176 in CO (top 18%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 17% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
• Zoned schools: Strasburg Elementary School (math 30% / reading 42%, grade F, #420 of 966 statewide, top 44%, 562 students, 33% FRL); Hemphill Middle School (math 24% / reading 34%, grade F, #129 of 270 statewide, top 51%, 255 students, 36% FRL); Strasburg High School (math 27% / reading 67%, grade D-, #132 of 381 statewide, top 36%, 379 students, 29% FRL) — zoned schools average 33% FRL vs 17% district-wide (16 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
• Market conditions: 119 active listings in the ZIP; 2,299 units permitted in Adams County in 2024 (343 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Adams County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• 6 sale attempts since 16y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• Current owner paid $234k; list at $380k implies a 62% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
• Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
• Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 4.4% in Strasburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Questions for listing agent

• What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
• How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.