4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,180 sqft ·
Built 1986
· Townhouse
· Pending
· 13 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,437/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$944
Tax + insurance
−$287
HOA
−$415
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$512
Net cashflow
$279/mo
Annual
$3,354/yr
Cap rate
8.16%
Cash-on-cash
6.65%
DSCR
1.30
1% rule
1.35%
Cash to close
$50,400
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $180k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $279 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $180k).
Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 69/100 on livability (#194 in MD) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime F, amenities F.
Prince George'S County Public Schools (suburban): math 8% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #21 of 24 in MD (top 88%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: William Paca Elementary (math 3% / reading 9%, grade F, #750 of 860 statewide, top 88%, 559 students, 92% FRL); Kenmoor Middle (math 14% / reading 35%, grade F, #108 of 225 statewide, top 50%, 929 students, 77% FRL); Charles Herbert Flowers High (math 34% / reading 60%, grade D-, #114 of 222 statewide, top 52%, 2,569 students, 62% FRL) — zoned schools average 77% FRL vs 53% district-wide (24 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.3%/yr); 137 active listings in the ZIP; 20 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 20d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,481 units permitted in Prince George's County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Prince George's County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
10 sale attempts since 27y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $108k; list at $180k implies a 67% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 8.2% vs local median 5.0% in Landover — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($86k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-307KZB3KAKA871
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29