3 bd · 2.5 ba ·
1,629 sqft ·
Built —
· Townhouse
· Active
· 239 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,462/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,940
Tax + insurance
−$617
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$517
Net cashflow
$-612/mo
Annual
$-7,344/yr
Cap rate
4.31%
Cash-on-cash
-7.09%
DSCR
0.68
1% rule
0.67%
Cash to close
$103,599
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $270k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-612 ($-7k/yr) — negative.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $246k (8.8% below list).
It's been on market 239 days — a 12% lower offer ($238k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $238k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $7k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $4k appreciation (1.1% local appreciation)).
Location reads 64/100 on livability (#48 in DE) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: health & safety A, crime B; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
Woodbridge School District (rural): math 17% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #21 of 26 in DE (top 81%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Market conditions: 108 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 4,354 units permitted in Sussex County in 2024 (344 in 5+ unit buildings).
Sussex County population projected at +25% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 239 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-30JMHN04SX967Y
· Data 16 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29