3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,344 sqft ·
Built 2000
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 220 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,460/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$278
Tax + insurance
−$88
HOA
−$735
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$307
Net cashflow
$52/mo
Annual
$628/yr
Cap rate
7.48%
Cash-on-cash
4.23%
DSCR
1.19
1% rule
2.76%
Cash to close
$14,840
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $53k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $52 ($628/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $53k).
It's been on market 220 days — a 12% lower offer ($47k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $47k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $366 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 81/100 on livability (#70 in MI, #1,533 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D-, amenities F, employment F.
Ida Public School District (rural): math 39% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #101 of 540 in MI (top 19%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 16% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Watch-outs: HOA is 50% of rent.
Market conditions: 142 active listings in the ZIP; 264 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (40 in 5+ unit buildings).
Monroe County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $32k (38%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 220 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-30PMCE2AS32Q1Z
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29