4 bd · 4.0 ba ·
3,200 sqft ·
Built 1929
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 105 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$13,804/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$5,769
Tax + insurance
−$1,352
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$2,899
Net cashflow
$3,785/mo
Annual
$45,419/yr
Cap rate
10.42%
Cash-on-cash
14.75%
DSCR
1.66
1% rule
1.25%
Cash to close
$308,000
Investor read
This is a 4×4bd/6.0ba + 2×1bd/6.0ba units multifamily listed at $1.10M.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $4k ($45k/yr) — positive. Per door: $631/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($14k rent vs $1.10M).
It's been on market 105 days — a 9% lower offer ($1.00M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $1.00M (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $8k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $33k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 60/100 on livability (#594 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, schools B+; Watch: employment C-, health & safety D, crime F.
Montebello Unified (suburban): math 17% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #419 of 517 in CA (top 81%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 76% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Watch-outs: built in 1929 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents falling (-7.0%/yr); 52 active listings in the ZIP; 19,697 units permitted in Los Angeles County in 2024 (9,426 in 5+ unit buildings).
Los Angeles County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
4 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $75k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $895k; 23% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 10.4% vs local median 3.7% in East Los Angeles — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $13,804/mo this rent would consume 244% of the median local household income ($68k/yr) (locally 2612% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 105 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1929 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
CashFlowRE · CFR-31ADNSDWX22MJ3
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29